Kidney Compass: Understanding Renal Outcomes in SURPASS-CVOT

Welcome to Kidney Compass: Navigating Clinical Trials!

In this special edition episode of Kidney Compass: Navigating Clinical Trials, host Brendon Neuen, MBBS, PhD, is joined by Sophia Zoungas, MBBS, PhD, an endocrinologist and head of the School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine at Monash University, to discuss a post hoc analysis of the phase 3 SURPASS-CVOT trial from American Society of Nephrology (ASN) Kidney Week 2025, which concluded tirzepatide (Mounjaro) significantly slowed kidney function decline and reduced albuminuria progression compared with dulaglutide (Trulicity) in patients with type 2 diabetes, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and very high-risk chronic kidney disease (CKD).

The analysis applied the KDIGO 2025 CKD risk classification, defining very high-risk CKD as eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m², or eGFR 30 to <45 mL/min/1.73 m² with micro/macroalbuminuria, or eGFR 45 to <60 mL/min/1.73 m² with macroalbuminuria.

Among 1241 patients meeting these criteria, the mean age was 68.5 years, mean body mass index (BMI) was 33.0 kg/m², mean HbA1c was 8.5%, and mean diabetes duration was 19.2 years. SGLT2 inhibitor use at baseline was 24.9%.

At 36 months, tirzepatide was associated with a significantly smaller decline in eGFR compared to dulaglutide:

• Change in eGFR: −3.0 (±0.5) mL/min/1.73 m² with tirzepatide vs −7.2 (±0.4) with dulaglutide (between-group difference: +4.1 mL/min/1.73 m²; P <.001).

Reductions in urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) also favored tirzepatide:

• Percent change in UACR: −45.6% with tirzepatide vs −28.0% with dulaglutide (between-group difference: −24.6%; P <.001).

The risk of the composite kidney outcome, which was defined as onset of macroalbuminuria, ≥50% eGFR decline, kidney failure, or kidney-related death, was 33% lower with tirzepatide (hazard ratio [HR], 0.67; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.87; P = .002). Event rates were 16.7% (108/647) with tirzepatide and 23.0% (137/594) with dulaglutide. No new safety concerns were identified, and benefits were consistent regardless of baseline SGLT2 inhibitor use.

Relevant disclosures for Neuen include AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer and Ingelheim, Janssen, and others. Relevant disclosures for Zoungas include AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, CSL Seqirus, Eli Lilly Australia, Moderna, MSD Australia, Sanofi and Novo Nordisk.

References:

1. Zoungas S, Nicholls S, Miller DL, Nishiyama H, Wiese RJ, D’Alessio DA. Tirzepatide vs. Dulaglutide Is Associated with Reduced Major Kidney Events in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes, CVD, and Very High-Risk Kidney Diseases. Presented at the American Society of Nephrology (ASN) Kidney Week. Houston, Texas. November 05-09, 2025.

2. Eli Lilly and Company. Lilly's Mounjaro (tirzepatide), a GIP/GLP-1 dual agonist, demonstrated cardiovascular protection in landmark head-to-head trial, reinforcing its benefit in patients with type 2 diabetes and heart disease. July 31, 2025. Accessed July 31, 2025. https://investor.lilly.com/news-releases/news-release-details/lillys-mounjaro-tirzepatide-gipglp-1-dual-agonist-demonstrated